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Japanese manufacturers' confidence index turned negative to the central bank's forecast in December. A short-term survey in Reuters, Japan, found that Japanese manufacturers' business confidence deteriorated further in December due to concerns about US protectionist policies. The survey of 505 large Japanese non-financial enterprises showed that manufacturers' confidence index fell from 5 in November to -1 in December, which was the first time since last February, and the number of pessimists exceeded optimists for the first time in 10 months. The loss of business confidence may cast a shadow over the Bank of Japan's forecast. The Bank of Japan had previously predicted that a steady recovery driven by rising wages and consumption would help inflation reach the 2% target in a sustainable way and justify further interest rate hikes. Many manufacturing industries have reported that business confidence has declined. Among electronic machinery manufacturers, steel and non-ferrous metal manufacturers, pessimists far exceed optimists.Ministry of Finance of Korea: Korea's financial market is still facing uncertainty.In addition to the front page content, today's People's Daily's main financial contents include: 1. Steady development of new quality productive forces-China Economic Observation in 2024 ③; 2. About 100 flying rainbow bridges built and under construction in China cross the blue ocean (new economic orientation); 3. VAT invoice data shows that the retail sales of household appliances increased by 74.4% in November. 4. The General Administration of Market Supervision regulates the whole process of business marketing behavior to prevent the waste of take-away catering; 5. China-Europe trains reach 227 cities in 25 countries in Europe, connecting more than 100 cities in 11 Asian countries, sending goods over 11 million TEUs and goods worth over 420 billion US dollars-crossing mountains and seas, and the "steel camel team" adds momentum to the world economy (building the "Belt and Road" and the first site); 6. Continue to play the role of the biggest engine of world economic growth (harmony); 7. Accelerate the arrival of "Digital Wisdom Future" (vertical and horizontal); 8. Continue to expand new consumption scenarios and new formats (everyone talks); 9. What do you think of the "China scenery" in the world economy (current economic question and answer in China)? 10. The two departments will further improve the working mechanism of centralized drug collection and implementation, and encourage the priority use of selected drugs and consumables; 11. Give full play to the role of bidding competition to help the standardized and healthy development of the bidding market (the way of governance); 12. The national economy is progressing steadily (number 2024); 13. Improve the quality and efficiency of life insurance management and do a good job in pension finance; 14. The global robot industry accelerates innovation and development (international perspective). In 2023, the number of newly installed industrial robots in China exceeded half of the world; 15. The active format of the new service consumption market characterized by digital and green is released to "new" vitality (consumption window, promoting the expansion and upgrading of service consumption); 16. Create more abundant new products for the integration of literature and tourism (market stroll); 17. CNCA issued an action plan to improve the quality management system certification of small and micro enterprises, improve product quality and increase quality supply (consumption kaleidoscope).

With the general election approaching, German Chancellor Angela Scholz supports reducing the value-added tax on basic groceries. German Chancellor Angela Scholz said in an interview on the evening of December 10th local time that he was in favor of reducing the value-added tax on basic groceries from 7% to 5% to help low-income families cope with inflation. The center-left leader also said that although the opposition Conservative Party has a big lead in the polls, he is confident of winning the early election on February 23rd.Guotai Junan's annual strategy for innovative drugs in 2025: innovative pharmaceutical companies have accelerated into the harvest period, and the valuation has been at a historical low in the past five years. Guotai Junan said that the centralized purchasing policy has become stable, mature and normalized, and the marginal impact has weakened. Innovative drugs have gained policy inclination in the medical insurance negotiation. In the past two years, the policy has continued to promote pharmaceutical innovation, and the top-level design and local supporting chain support the development of innovative drugs. Commercial insurance is expected to bring new growth momentum to China's pharmaceutical market, and the overall industry trend is upward. At present, the trend of innovative drug industry is improving, the supply continues to accelerate, and a number of domestic innovative drugs are approved soon, which is expected to drive a new round of heavy volume. At the same time, the commercialization has achieved remarkable results and has occupied a dominant position in some sub-sectors. Pharma's performance continued to differentiate, and innovative drugs and just-needed drugs performed well. Biotech commercialization continues to increase, per capita yield continues to increase, the node of turning losses is approaching, and innovation ushers in the harvest period. Horizontal comparison: compared with overseas peers, the overall valuation of domestic innovative pharmaceutical companies is in a historically low range; Vertical comparison: the valuation of SW- pharmaceutical biology and SW- chemical preparations is at a historical low in the past five years, and it is expected that the valuation of subsequent sectors will pick up.Non-bank deposit self-discipline initiative has landed, and bank financial management has welcomed "three changes". "Non-bank deposit self-discipline initiative involves a large scale of deposits, and some banks have begun to rectify. For the banking industry, the overall advantages outweigh the disadvantages. On the one hand, some configurable high-yield assets are gone; On the other hand, self-regulatory initiatives are beneficial to the bond market, and bond assets are an important direction for bank financial allocation. The most important thing is that in terms of risk-return characteristics, bank wealth management products are similar to interbank deposits, and it is expected that a large amount of funds will flow into the bank wealth management market from the interbank deposit market. " On December 10, a person from a financial company of a city commercial bank in the southern region bluntly told reporters.

Expert: Central enterprises will continue to recruit in A-shares. On the evening of December 9, Huada Jiutian, a domestic EDA leader, announced that China Electronic Information Industry Group Co., Ltd. will become the actual controller of the company. So far, the number of A-share listed companies "incorporated" by central enterprises reached 10 in 2024. The end of 2024 is an important node for central enterprises to optimize the layout of listed platforms. The Work Plan for Improving the Quality of Listed Companies Controlled by Central Enterprises previously issued by the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission of the State Council made it clear that the adjustment and revitalization of the listing platform should be basically completed by the end of 2024, and it is supported to revitalize through absorption and merger, asset restructuring and cross-market operation, or to withdraw through free transfer and equity transfer, so as to further focus on the main business and advantageous areas. Looking forward to the next layout rhythm of central enterprises in the capital market, many experts interviewed by reporters believe that the pace of "recruiting" of central enterprises in A shares will continue. In the coming period, the cases of central enterprises strengthening their main business through capital operation and giving play to their strategic support and industrial leading functions will be on the rise. (shanghai securities news)CITIC Securities: The logic of "grabbing exports" is expected to support the short-term performance of China's exports. According to the CITIC Securities Research Report, in November, China's exports maintained a certain growth rate, exports to emerging markets maintained a high growth rate, and exports of mechanical and electrical products performed brilliantly. In the short term, both CCFI index and SCFI index are on the rise, and the logic of "grabbing exports" is expected to support the short-term performance of China's exports. In the long run, if the United States imposes tariffs on China, China's export performance may be dragged down. However, based on the analysis of the import share structure of the United States, the European Union, Vietnam, Mexico and other economies, we can see that the current pattern of China's trade diversification has improved compared with the last round of Sino-US trade friction, and the trade between emerging markets and China has become closer and closer. The imposition of tariffs by the United States on China may affect the bilateral trade between China and the United States more, and domestic enterprises going to sea and re-exporting trade may still be effective ways to hedge the impact of US tariffs on China.Galaxy Securities: It is recommended to pay attention to the upgrading of network infrastructure, telecom operators, optical module leaders, quantum communication leaders, Internet of Things and cutting-edge applications, etc. china galaxy Securities said that the demand for communication equipment as the base of computing infrastructure in the digital economy is expected to usher in high growth, and related sectors may usher in greater opportunities, focusing on emerging industries such as operators, optical communications, quantum communications and 5G applications to empower related industrial chains. It is suggested to pay attention to: network infrastructure upgrade+telecom operators, optical module leaders, quantum communication leaders, Internet of Things and cutting-edge applications led by central enterprises.